Executive Summary
The Nuevo Vallarta West condo market in July 2025 shows signs of expansion and opportunity, particularly for buyers. Year-to-date, sold listings increased 9.4% to 58 units, while pending listings rose 15.3% to 68, indicating growing momentum. July saw 6 condos sold, a 100% YoY surge from 3, though flat MoM. Active listings jumped 71.3% YoY to 298, with YTD up 21.7%, reflecting abundant supply. New listings dipped -18.2% YoY to 9, and +12.5% MoM.
Pricing presents a mixed picture: average sale price in July climbed 71.01% YoY to $483,167, but YTD fell -23.43% to $513,262. Median sale price rose 35.69% YoY to $383,500, yet YTD declined -23.15%. Absorption rate at 31.10 months (+35.51% YoY) signals a strong buyer's market. Average DOM extended to 205 days (+122.83% YoY), suggesting slower turnover.
Market at a Glance
Market Overview
Nuevo Vallarta West's condo market is experiencing inventory growth, with active listings at 298 in July, up 71.3% YoY and 21.7% YTD. This surge contrasts with new listings declining -18.2% YoY and -31.2% YTD, possibly due to seasonal factors or seller caution. Sold units in July doubled YoY to 6, contributing to a 9.4% YTD increase, while pendings rose 16.7% YoY and 15.3% YTD.
Pricing dynamics are varied: July's average sale price rose sharply 71.01% YoY, but YTD averages show declines, perhaps reflecting a shift toward more affordable segments. Median prices followed a similar pattern, with YoY gains but YTD losses.
The absorption rate of 31.10 months (+35.51% YoY) and DOM at 205 days (+122.83% YoY) underscore a buyer's market, where supply exceeds demand, leading to longer selling times.
MoM changes were modest, with active listings down slightly and sales stable, suggesting stabilization after earlier volatility.
Key Market Indicators
- Absorption Rate: 31.10 months (+35.51% YoY), YTD average 32.36 months (+40.15% from 2024 YTD).
- Average List Price (Actives): $522,186 (-7.20% YoY), YTD $525,333 (+0.46%).
- Median List Price (Actives): $459,750 (-8.41% YoY), YTD $460,000 (+14.03%).
- Average Sale Price (Solds): $483,167 (+71.01% YoY), YTD $513,262 (-23.43%).
- Median Sale Price (Solds): $383,500 (+35.69% YoY), YTD $383,500 (-23.15%).
- Average DOM: 205 days (+122.83% YoY), YTD 245 days (+9.87%).
- Median DOM: 153 days (+212.24% YoY), YTD 227 days (+30.46%).
Pricing Analysis
Prices in Nuevo Vallarta West condos are showing YoY strength in July, with average sold prices up significantly, driven by sales in mid-ranges. However, YTD declines suggest earlier months had higher-value transactions in 2024. Sale to list price ratio at 94.7% in July indicates moderate negotiations, while sale to original list at 91.5% shows some reductions over time.
Active list volume reached $156 million in July, up MoM, reflecting the inventory build. Sold volume was $2.9 million, up from June's $2.45 million, aligning with stable sales but higher prices per unit.
Overall, the market's pricing resilience in a high-supply environment could benefit buyers seeking deals, while sellers in popular ranges maintain leverage.
Listings Activity by Price Range
Active listings cluster in $250k-$599k, with over 70% of inventory there. Standout YoY growth: $450k-$499k up 466.7% to 51, $300k-$349k +283.3% to 46. Higher ends like $1M+ show modest increases. YTD, lower-mid ranges gained, e.g., $450k-$499k +317.6%.
Sold listings YTD up in several bands, like $350k-$399k +225% to 13, $550k-$599k +200% to 3. July sales spanned $250k-$399k, $600k-$649k, $900k-$949k, doubling YoY total.
Pending activity YTD strong in $350k-$499k, with gains like $350k-$399k +166.7% to 16. July pendings in lower-mid ranges, up 16.7% YoY.
New listings YTD down overall, but pockets like $550k-$599k +11.1% to 10. July's 9 new entries focused on scattered ranges, down YoY.
Market Trends (Visualized)
The chart below displays sold listings (black bars) and average sale prices (dark red line) over the past year, capturing sales volume and price movements.
This visualization shows active listings (black bars) paired with average list prices (dark red line), illustrating inventory and pricing trends.
The line chart tracks absorption rate changes, highlighting supply-demand balance.
Average DOM trends are plotted, revealing property turnover speed variations.
Market Implications
For Buyers
High inventory (+71.3% YoY) and extended absorption (+35.51%) create a favorable environment for buyers, offering choices and negotiation power. Despite YTD price dips, rising YoY medians suggest selecting now in growing mid-ranges could yield value.
For Sellers
Sellers contend with longer DOM (+122.83% YoY) in a buyer's market, but strong pendings and YoY sales growth indicate demand persists. Pricing realistically in competitive $300k-$500k bands may accelerate sales.
For Investors
Investors can capitalize on inventory surge and YTD sales uptick, targeting undervalued segments like $350k-$399k with high activity. Long-term, Nuevo Vallarta West's resort appeal supports rental potential amid market expansion.
Terminology Glossary (Click to Expand)
Considering Buying or Selling?
Navigating the current Puerto Vallarta real estate market requires up-to-date information and expert guidance. Whether you're looking to buy your dream vacation home, sell your property effectively, or make a strategic investment, understanding these trends is vital. Contact Mexico Life Realty today for a personalized consultation and strategy session.
Disclaimer: This report is based on data from the local MLS for the specified period and property type. Market conditions can change rapidly. This information is intended for educational purposes and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always consult with a Mexico Life Realty professional before making Mexico real estate decisions.
Posted by John and Christie Forget on
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