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As we dive into the latest data on Puerto Vallarta's condo market, it's clear that the winds of change are blowing through this tropical paradise. Let's break down the key trends and what they mean for buyers and sellers in this vibrant Mexican coastal city.

1. Inventory Surge

Active Listings

The number of available condos has skyrocketed over the past year. In June 2024, there were 1,727 active listings, a whopping 24.4% increase from the 1,388 listings in June 2023. This surge in inventory gives buyers more options but may put pressure on sellers to make their properties stand out.

2. Sales Slowdown

June 2024 Closed Sales Puerto Vallarta Condos

We're seeing a significant cooling in the market when it comes to closed sales. June 2024 saw only 56 condos sold, compared to 83 in June 2023 - a 32.5% decrease. This trend is mirrored in pending sales, which dropped by 40.7% year-over-year.

Condos Pending Sales June 2024

3. Price Paradox

Average Sales Price June 2024

Here's where things get interesting. Despite the slowdown in sales, prices are still on the rise. The average sale price jumped 12.71% from $464,271 in June 2023 to $523,293 in June 2024. The median sale price also saw a modest increase of 4.39%. This suggests that while fewer condos are selling, those that do are fetching higher prices.

4. Market Segment Breakdown

 

  • Luxury Market ($1 million+): Holding steady with 5 sales in June 2024 compared to 6 in June 2023. However, active listings in this range have surged, particularly in the $1-1.5 million bracket.
  • Mid-Range Market ($350,000 - $999,999): Experiencing a noticeable slowdown in sales across most price brackets, coupled with increasing inventory.
  • Entry-Level Market (Below $350,000): Showing mixed results, with some price ranges seeing increases and others decreases in sales. The $200,000-$249,999 range saw a significant increase in active listings.

5. Days on Market: Speed Sells

Average days on Market Condos - June 2024

In a surprising twist, the average days on market has decreased from 254 days to 168 days, a 33.86% reduction. This suggests that well-priced properties are still moving quickly, despite the overall market slowdown.

What Does This Mean for You?

For Buyers: With more inventory and a slowdown in sales, you have more options and potentially more negotiating power. However, be prepared to move quickly on well-priced properties, as they're still selling faster than last year.

For Sellers: The increased competition means you'll need to price your property strategically and ensure it stands out in the market. Despite the slowdown, prices are still rising, so there's potential for good returns if you can attract the right buyer.

For Investors: The luxury market seems to be holding steady in terms of sales but seeing a significant increase in inventory. This could present opportunities, but careful analysis of specific properties and locations is crucial.

Key Trends in Puerto Vallarta's Condo Market (July 2023 - June 2024)

  1. Active Listings:
    • Trend: Generally increasing
    • Started at 1,448 in July 2023
    • Peaked at 1,962 in April 2024
    • Ended at 1,727 in June 2024
    • Overall increase of 19.3% from July 2023 to June 2024
  2. Sold Listings:
    • Trend: Fluctuating with a slight downward trend
    • Highest: 108 in September 2023
    • Lowest: 55 in October 2023
    • June 2024: 56 sold listings
  3. Average Sale Price:
    • Trend: Fluctuating but generally increasing
    • Low point: $363,178.77 in September 2023
    • High point: $595,205.11 in May 2024
    • June 2024: $523,293.02
    • Overall increase of 20.9% from July 2023 to June 2024
  4. Median Sale Price:
    • Trend: Fluctuating with an upward tendency
    • Low point: $242,131 in September 2023
    • High point: $520,000 in May 2024
    • June 2024: $389,500
    • Overall increase of 11.3% from July 2023 to June 2024
  5. Average Days on Market (DOM):
    • Trend: Fluctuating without a clear direction
    • Lowest: 152.6 days in September 2023
    • Highest: 294.6 days in December 2023
    • June 2024: 168.4 days
  6. Absorption Rate:
    • Trend: Steadily increasing
    • Started at 14.12 months in July 2023
    • Peaked at 23.64 months in April 2024
    • June 2024: 22.36 months
    • Overall increase of 58.4% from July 2023 to June 2024
  7. Sale to List Price Ratio:
    • Trend: Slightly decreasing
    • Highest: 98.5% in January 2024
    • Lowest: 94.8% in June 2024
    • Overall decrease of 1.4 percentage points from July 2023 to June 2024
  8. New Listings:
    • Trend: Fluctuating with a downward tendency
    • Highest: 359 in December 2023
    • Lowest: 112 in June 2024
    • Overall decrease of 9.7% from July 2023 to June 2024

These trends suggest a market that's experiencing increasing inventory and generally rising prices, but with slower sales and longer time on market for properties. The increasing absorption rate indicates a shift towards a buyer's market, while the rising prices suggest continued demand despite the slowdown in sales.

Conclusion:

The Puerto Vallarta condo market is showing signs of a shift towards a buyer's market, with increasing inventory and decreasing sales. However, the continued price increases suggest that demand remains relatively strong. As always in real estate, location, property condition, and pricing strategy will be key factors in individual buying and selling decisions.

Stay tuned for our next market update, and don't hesitate to reach out to info@mexicolife.com if you have any questions about the Puerto Vallarta condo market! For individual market reports, please visit https://www.mexicolife.com/puerto-vallarta-area-real-estate-reports.php

 


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